Bitcoin (BTC) and commodity safe havens like Gold (XAU) and Silver (XAG) are on the verge of more downside, leaving traders and investors at the edge of their seats as crucial support levels give way.
Analysts anticipate further volatility, with the Supreme Court expected to decide if Trump’s tariffs are legal on Wednesday.
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Bitcoin Eyes June Lows As $100,000 Breakdown Feels Imminent
Crypto markets brace for volatility on Wednesday, when the Supreme Court is expected to decide whether Trump’s tariffs are legal.
“They can say what they want. I’m there to emphasize this is an economic emergency,” said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in an interview with Fox.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to slide lower after descending to the $103,000 range on Tuesday. Prospects for further downside remain very much alive, with concerning actions by significant market players keeping traders on edge.
From a technical standpoint, bearish pressure is overpowering bullish momentum, seen with the yellow volume profiles (bears) dominating the bullish ones (grey). Meanwhile, momentum indicators such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a waning of buying strength, as it continues to record lower highs.
Based on this, Bitcoin could extend a leg lower, potentially reaching the $100,000 psychological level. A daily candlestick close below $100,300, the midline of the demand zone between $102,120 and $98,200 could confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
Such a move would clear the clog for further downside, with BTC bulls waiting to interact with the Bitcoin price around $93,708. This could be the inflection point, offering the pioneer crypto a turnaround and entry for late bulls.
Conversely, the position of the RSI, earmarked with a purple patch, shows that momentum could soon rise if history rhymes. Looking back, every time the RSI dropped to near 35, the momentum indicator bounced, and with it, the price.
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Furthermore, the RSI is nearing oversold territory, which often precedes a pullback to the upside. Increased buying pressure, therefore, could cause the Bitcoin price to revert to the top of the ascending trendline.
Nonetheless, while a break above $111,999 and $117,552 would be ideal, only a break and close above $123,891 on the daily timeframe would indicate possibilities for new all-time highs.
Gold Slips Below $4,000 As Hopes for More Fed Rate Cuts Fade
While Bitcoin teases with further downside, Gold is also dipping, having slipped below the $4,000 psychological level on Tuesday. Analysts attribute this slump to dwindling hopes for further rate cuts in 2025.
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Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows a 69.9% probability of cuts to the 3.50 to 3.75% range, against a growing probability that it will remain steady at 3.75 to 4.00%. Against this backdrop, the gold price is dropping.
The drop occurs after the gold price filled a symmetric triangle, with the breakdown of the lower trendline indicating a directional bias. Now, with the support at $3,938 holding, the XAU price is at an inflection point.
A breakdown of this support could see the downtrend extend, with a 4-hour candlestick close below $3,915 setting the tone for an extended leg down. This could see the gold price descend to collect sell-side liquidity below $3,899, potentially reaching levels last tested on October 28, as low as $3,886.
On the other hand, if buyer momentum increases beyond current levels, the gold price could restore consolidation within the triangle, increasing the odds of a break above the upper boundary.
Nevertheless, only a decisive candlestick close above $4,061 on the 4-hour timeframe would make the precious metal attractive to buy again.
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Overhead Pressure Puts Silver at the Cusp of a Drop to $46.24
Silver could take its cues from the gold price, falling to $46.24 (earmarked by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) before a recovery.
Amid overhead pressure due to the confluence of resistance between the 50- and 100-day SMAs at $48.08 and $49.76, respectively, the XAG price fell below the midrange of the golden zone (50% Fibonacci retracement level) at $47.82.
If the $46.24 support level fails to hold, bulls could find the next buying opportunity at $44.30, coinciding with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
On the other hand, with the RSI tipping north, momentum is rising. If sustained, the XAG price could pull back, flipping the $47.82 resistance into support.
Traders should watch for a bullish crossover, which occurs when the RSI crosses its signal line (yellow) to the upside. Such a move could attract more buy orders, with the ensuing buying pressure likely to send the silver price further north.
